SOURCE– For each game, we calculated the probability of winning for the two teams based on the baseline forecasts, home court and other scheduling factors — rest, road back-to-backs, travel, etc. We used those probabilities to run the schedule through a simulator.
The differences between the average simulation results and our baseline forecasts suggest who benefited from the 2016-17 schedule.
30. Boston Celtics (3.34 extra wins)
The Celtics get plenty of the Knicks, Nets and Sixers. Seven of their 17 back-to-backs finish in Boston. They have 17 long-rest games and their 25 games with a rest advantage ranks third. It all adds up.
1. Brooklyn Nets (5.32 extra losses)
The Nets are early in their rebuild and the schedule does them no favors. They are tied for the fewest games with two or three days of rest (13) and while they play just 14 back-to-backs, only four of those have the back end at the Barclays Center.
Oh boy oh boy oh boy! Lookie what we have here! ESPN did a ranking of the toughest schedules in the NBA this season, and what is that?!?! The Celtics have the easiest and Brooklyn has the hardest?! What?! how could that be?? And what is that? The Celtics have the Nets draft pick for this years draft?!! Oh my god that is so unfair!!!
How bad do you think the Nets management hate their lives right about now? They were the 2nd worst team in the league last year. They had no draft picks entering the draft. They had to trade their best player away to get a late 1st round pick. And then the best free agent they could sign was Jeremy Lin.
Trader Danny looks so fucking smart right now. Like how could that Brooklyn deal have ended up any better. We should be in the Eastern Conference Finals this year AND should have the first overall pick. I can’t wait. I’m getting giddy just thinking about it. It is going to be a great year to be a Celtics fan.
P.S. Talking about the Celtics schedule, the Celtics have a total of 22 National TV appearances this year. Which is a bump from the 9 they played last year. The NBA knows this is going to be a good team this year. C’s Up. Banner 18 here we come.